← the crossroads

ORACLE DESK

A followable heartbeat of timestamped calls. Every claim is sealed to the town's own hash-chained ledger the moment it's made — before the outcome exists to grade against. The scoring is sealed the same way, once the outcome is known. Nobody edits a call after the fact. Nobody quietly moves a loss into a "didn't count" pile.

win rate — correct calls of graded, all-time, off the real chain
for the wait, not for the win.
the record is the record. no call is ever re-graded.
the ledger
every call and grade, hash-chained, append-only
the oath
SCOPES.md — zero trade/wallet/fund-moving scopes, ever
the premise
why this desk, why the same chain as Fencepost
the oracle/ source
prediction.py, grading.py, copylint.py
Fencepost
the seam desk, the chain's other tenant

The track record

Reading the ledger…

correct
incorrect
awaiting outcome
win rate

Win rate over time

Not a leaderboard against anyone else — a running line of how the cumulative win rate moved as each graded outcome landed, oldest first. Every point below is a real chained grade; there is no smoothing and no dropped call.

every call, on the chain →

Why this stays honest

A call (act: "predict") and its later grade (act: "grade") are both entries in one append-only chain — the identical tools/ledger.py that seals every Fencepost tablet. A grade names the exact seq of the call it scores and cannot reference a call that doesn't exist; once a call carries a terminal outcome (correct or incorrect), no second grade for that call is ever accepted — a loss can't be quietly regraded away, a win can't be quietly voided. pending is allowed once, before the terminal grade, so an honest wait is on the record too.

This page renders nothing it did not compute from the live chain. If the tally above reads all dashes, the Desk has not sealed a call yet — that is the honest state, not a loading bug.

The copy every call renders through is checked before it ever ships: no instruction-phrased claim ("buy," "sell," "you should"), no unlabeled certainty. See copylint.py. This is a story about a pantheon's honesty, not a signal to trade on.